Jansen provides silver lining to otherwise dark NLCS

As the sun rose over the City of Angels on Sunday morning, with it came the cold hard realization that there would be no Game-7 of the 2016 National League Championship Series for the Dodgers. Instead, Dodger fans awoke to the painful truth that the ridiculously lofty expectations that they (and everyone else) had placed on the shoulders of Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw was simply too great, especially with virtually zero offense (two hits) and some less-than-stellar defense which led to an ugly 5-0 loss for the Dodgers and a very long awaited trip to the World Series for the Cubs.

In reality, it became very apparent very quickly that the Dodgers were doomed. In fact, it took all of seven pitches from Kershaw for the Cubs to get on the board in the bottom of the first inning and 30 pitches for him to finally get out of the inning with his team down 2-0. And though Dodger fans would still have to endure eight more agonizing innings of the insufferable Cubs-biased Joe Buck before the “W” flag would finally be hoisted above 102-year-old Wrigley Field, the team that deserved a trip to the 2016 World Series is going there.

“The better team won,” Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said succinctly during his postgame interview.

Indeed they did, this in spite of having been shut out twice by the Dodgers in the series – a series that the Cubs won rather handily four games to two.

But the Dodgers’ half of the NLCS wasn’t without its moments of greatness, albeit not many. In addition to the Game-2 and Game-3 shutouts by Kershaw and fellow left-hander Rich Hill respectively, Dodgers closer Kenley Jansen was absolutely brilliant. I mean, we’re talking series MVP brilliant, if they gave such a thing to the losing team.

Although there weren't many positive takeaways from the 2016 National League Championship Series, the performance of Dodgers closer Kenley Jansen was most certainly one of them. (Photo credit - Jon Durr

Although there weren’t many positive takeaways from the 2016 National League Championship Series for the Dodgers, the performance of Kenley Jansen was definitely one of them.
(Photo credit – Jon Durr

In the three NLCS games in which the 29-year-old Willemstad, Curacao native appeared, Jansen did not allow a run and gave up only one hit. But what makes what Jansen did even more spectacular is that he did it over 6.1 innings pitched while striking out 10 of the 20 total batters that he faced. Equally incredible is the fact that he pitched multiple innings in all three of his NLCS appearances, including two full innings in Game-2 and three full innings in Game-6. (he pitched 1.1 innings in Game-3). This goes way beyond the role of the average MLB closer.

In Jansen’s three NLCS appearances he recorded the longest save of his seven-year MLB career (two innings in Game-2) and had the longest outing of his career (three innings in Game-6). He was so dominant that his 10 NLCS strikeouts tied those of Kershaw. The glowing difference is that Jansen’s came in 6.1 innings of relief and Kershaw’s came in 12.1 innings over two starts.

Like I said, MVP brilliant.

“I’m really proud of Kenley’s growth and just really solidifying as an elite closer in the game,” Roberts said. “There just should be no mistake now and on the biggest stage to go out there and throw three innings and to be so unselfish and to be dominant, says a lot about his character and obviously his skill set.”

Jansen fully realizes that what he accomplished during the Division Series and Championship Series was indeed special.

“It gave me more confidence knowing I can pitch two, three innings – it will help me grow,” Jansen told SportsNet LA’s Alanna Rizzo after the game. “I’m proud of myself. I’m just going to stay hungrier and hungrier. Now it’s the off-season. I just have to go take care of my body, get stronger, and try to do better next year.”

This, of course, brings up the million dollar question … or multi-million dollar question in this case – Where will Kenley Jansen’s next year be?

As every Dodger fan knows by now, the 6′-5”- 270-pound hard-throwing right-hander became a free agent with his final pitch (a strike) on Saturday evening. And when you consider that with his incredible postseason performance and the fact that he is considered among the best closers (if not the best) in the game today, Jansen is going to get PAID … but by whom?

The short answer is that of course it will be by the Dodgers; I mean, why on earth would they let the best closer in the game today go, right? But the long answer is that Jansen’s remarkable talents are seriously needed by nearly every team in the MLB and, as such, his free agency asking price is going to be absolutely insane; perhaps too insane for Dodgers president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman and general manager Farhan Zaidi. But you can be absolutely positively assured that someone will pay him, say… like… the San Francisco Giants who – in all likelihood – would have made a very strong run at their fourth World Series appearance in seven years had they had a closer of Jansen’s talent.

But the Hated Ones won’t be the only team throwing their hat into the Kenley Jansen sweepstakes this off-season. Although there has been a lot of speculation that flame-throwing left-hander Aroldis Chapman, who the Cubs ‘rented’ at the August 1 trade deadline, may elect to return to the Yankees (from whom he was rented) after the World Series, the Cubs may choose to re-sign him – especially if they were to win their first World Series since 1908.

Of note is that Chapman’s one-year deal with the Yankees was worth a cool $11.325 million (of which the Cubs inherited $4.33 million), which means that Jansen could be looking at a free agency contract that could carry an average annual value (AAV) of somewhere in the $15 to $20 million range, depending on the length of his new contract. And while the Dodgers have several young potential closers down on the farm, it will be virtually impossible for any of them to fill Jansen’s (enormous) shoes – at least initially.

And Jansen isn’t the only Dodger facing free agency. Extremely popular Dodgers third baseman Justin Turner is also entering free agency this off-season and he, like Jansen, will command a very high asking price. Once again, the Dodgers would be absolutely foolish to let the soon-to-be 32-year-old Long Beach, California native and lifelong Dodger fan get away, but he too could command an AAV contract in the $15-$20 million range.

But alas, worrying about such things only hours after the Dodgers were (yet again) eliminated from postseason play is just too much to bear right now and Dodger fans will undoubtedly need to decompress for a few days before setting their sights on next season.

The good news is that pitchers and catcher report for spring training in only 116 days.

Ugggh!

 

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3 Responses to “Jansen provides silver lining to otherwise dark NLCS”

  1. oldbrooklynfan says:

    We might as well prepare ourselves to lose Jansen and Turner the way our experience tells us to do, unless this ownership surprises us and decides to pay them what they’re worth.

  2. Respect the Rivalry says:

    Thank you, Ron, for posting “The Green Fields of the Mind”. I was trying to remember that yesterday. All I could remember fully was: “It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.” and bits & pieces of the rest of that paragraph. I think we all identify with it right now.
    The Cubs earned it. Our guys didn’t.
    Next spring we start all over again. The pitching staff may be known as “Kersh and the Kids.” I hope we still have Kenley and JT. JT should be easier since he wants to stay home. Angels could compete since Bellflower is about halfway between the two stadiums (I grew up in Bellflower).
    I’m thinking we’ll have a real leadoff man in Tolsey. That should be Maury’s off season project. If Puig’s attitude holds he may have his everyday job back.
    There will be more kids making impressions.
    Next year is The Year! Did I say that last year? Yes, I did, and the year before. Someday I’ll be right.

  3. AlwaysCompete says:

    It’s easy to say that it’s not my money so pay Kenley and JT. But in reality, there is a salary ceiling that every team must adhere to. Fortunately for Dodgers fans, that ceiling is a lot higher than almost every other team, but make no mistake there is a ceiling. The more you allocate to Kenley and JT, the less there is to allocate to other positions. Who is going to play 2nd? Who is going to be the power RH bat in a corner OF position? Is everyone willing to keep Puig or go with Trayce Thompson as everyday RF? Do you continue to platoon? Is Toles the everyday LF and Ethier the valuable bat off the bench? What becomes of Kike’. Do you trust him to return to the player he was in 2015? I do not get the impression that the Dodgers do. Who is going to be the backup catcher? Do you give it to Austin Barnes or do you exercise Chooch’s option?

    Most FA do not play to the expected (paid) level for the entirety of the contract. Some not even the first year. Jansen has indicated that he is more like Greinke and go where the $$$ are the greatest. Okay, that’s modern day sports. I can accept that. He is going to be more expensive than Papelbon. So do you allocate $75M for 5 years? While the AAV is $15M, it will probably be closer to $20M for his most productive years. In the last several years (from Brian Wilson to this year – and Mariano Rivera before that), most teams in the WS would not be there if it were not for a dominant closer. This year, Andrew Miller and Aroldis Chapman are that role. The 2014 Giants would certainly be an exception, but then they did have Madison Bumgarner. This is a tough call, but like I said it’s not my money so I say sign him.

    JT is different. He wants to be a Dodger. Would 3 years at $15M AAV do it? That is more than Daniel Murphy signed for. Were the Dodgers really considering trading for and assuming Evan Longoria’s contract? If so, go 4 years at $55M with a club option for the 5th similar to Longoria’s $13M or $5M buyout. That’s a guaranteed $60M.

    Both will get QO, and the sooner they get these two contracts determined one way or the other, the sooner the FO can work on addressing the other areas of need.

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