Maybe that’s the plan – have a bad season so you can get a good draft pick the following year. Heaven knows it worked for the Washington Nationals with Stephen Strasburg and Bryce Harper, right?
Of course the Dodgers are not intentionally having a bad season, although at times it certainly seems that way. But as it stands right now and if the season were to end today, the Dodgers would have the 5th overall draft pick in 2014, which would be their highest pick since Clayton Kershaw at number seven in 2006 and their second highest ever.
I love the draft and can’t imagine what it must be like waiting for your pick. Imagine Logan White holding his breath when the Tigers took Andrew Miller (6th) before Kershaw (7th) in 2006.
What’s your guess for this year’s draft? That is, which position will the Dodgers try to fill with their number 18 pick? I think they simply have to take the best player available (BPA) when number 18 comes around.
Recent history has been for the Dodgers to take high school players as their first pick (eight of their last ten first round picks have been high school players). Their history has also been to draft pitchers (eight of those ten picks were pitchers).
This year’s draft again seems to be weighted more heavily with top prospect pitchers but there is also strength at the outfield position with guys like Clint Frasier, Austin Meadows and Hunter Renrfroe. I’m going with a pitcher (again) because by the 18th pick, most of the top rated position players will most likely be gone.
Mark Appel (RHP) and Jonathan Gray (RHP) will undoubtedly be the first and second picks (or second and first), with Appel being the most MLB ready of the two. Corner infielder Kris Bryant (who could be a surprise number one pick) is the best power bat and will be long gone by the time that the Dodgers draft number comes around, as will top catcher Reese McGuire, shortstop J.P. Crawford and third baseman Colin Moran.
Unfortunately LHP Sean Manaea has a problem with shoulder tightness which may drop all pitchers in the first round down a notch but that may free up a bat for number 18. Not much chance of getting Ryne Stanek (RHP), Kohl Stewart (LHP), Braden Shipley (RHP), so after them teams may be into second tier pitchers – unless there is a ringer or two out there, which I am sure there is.
My guess is that the Dodgers will again go after an athletic-type high school pitcher, perhaps local and perhaps from among the following:
- Ian Clarkin (LHP) – James Madison High School, CA – ranked in the top three best high school secondary pitch by Baseball America (BA)
- Phil Bickford (RHP) – Oaks Christian High School, CA
- Hunter Harvey (RHP) – Bandys High School, NC – son of Bryan Harvey
- Rob Kaminsky (LHP) – St. Joseph’s High School, NJ – top three best high school secondary pitch according to BA
- Trey Ball (LHP) – New Castle High School, IN (a pipe dream on my part) – also an OF and on best athlete list by BA (great name, huh?)
My top college picks would be:
- Chris Anderson (RHP) – Jacksonville University – one of youngest college players turning 21 in July
- Kevin Ziomek (LHP) – Vandrebuilt University
- Marco Gonzales (LHP) – Gonzaga University – top three best secondary pitch at college level – filthy change up, maybe best in draft
Some possible surprise picks might include:
- Alex Gonzalez (RHP) – Oral Roberts University
- Kyle Serreno( RHP) – Farragut High School, TN – top three best high school command by BA
- Cavan Biggio (2B) – St. Thomas High School, TX – (son of future Hall of Famer Craig Biggio) – not a first round pick as he will probably be going to college at Notre Dame
- Andy McGuire (INF) – Madison High School, VA – versatile infielder
- Dominic Smith (OF/1B/LHP) – Serra High School, CA
- Jonah Wesely (LHP) -Tracy High School, CA
- Dustin Driver (RHP) – Wenatchee High School, WA
- Mike Yastrzemski (OF) – Vanderbilt University (grandson of Hall of Famer Carl Yastrzemski)
Regardless of how it all ends up, the MLB First-Year Player Draft is one of the most exciting times of the year for me as it has a direct impact on the very future on the organization that I so passionately love.
It never ceases to amaze me how Logan White continually finds some great kids seemingly out of nowhere – a tribute to the Dodgers excellent scouting staff.
I’m betting that the Dodgers number one pick is someone not on your list and when his name is called, we’ll all say “Who?”
In the past I was never all that big on following the MLB Draft but began doing so the past few years primarily because of you, Harold – and for that I thank you.
Fun stuff indeed.
I love the surprises as it means other teams have not spotted them or underestimated them. I suppose there are some players that other teams find that Logan might not have picked up on.
All in all it is an exciting time. 40 picks again this year down, from 50 a couple of years ago.
Last year I included Seager at the top of my list but below Stephen Piscotty (3B) The Dodgers had previously drafted him in 2009 but he didn’t sign. He is now at A+ in the Cardinal system and doing quite well
I hope Corey soon gets healed up with his hamstring injury. He will play the entire season as nineteen year old. I did expect him to make it to RC this year but the injury may delay that.
I see Feelin’ Kinda Blue has moved my draft pipe dream to the top of his list: LHP Trey Ball, New Castle HS