Remember those old E.F. Hutton commercials, the ones that ended with: “When E.F. Hutton speaks, people listen?” Well if you are a Dodger fan who closely follows longtime Dodgers beat reporter Ken Gurnick (and let’s be real here, if you do not, you are really missing the boat), then you are very well aware that: “When Ken Gurnick writes it, Dodger fans better believe it” – period.
During Tuesday’s first – and much needed – scheduled spring training off day, and with 20 spring training games remaining, Gurnick released his first projected Dodgers Opening Day roster. Had I not seen it prior to preparing my own projected Opening Day roster, I would have thought that Ken had stolen my notes.
Here is Gurnick’s projected Dodgers Opening Day roster as of March 5th:
Although Ken’s projected Opening Day roster in extremely close to my own, there is a grand total of one discrepancy between his and mine, which is quite flattering for me. That lone discrepancy is the guy who (in my opinion) has proven that he absolutely belongs on the Dodgers Opening Day roster – 28-year-old right-handed reliever Yimi Garcia.
Although the sample size is ridiculously small, the Moca, Dominican Republic native has been lights out thus far this spring. We’re talking better than every other Dodgers reliever, again keeping in mind that the sample size is small.
In his combined 3.0 innings pitched thus far this spring, Garcia has yet to allow a run, hit, or walk, while striking out six of the nine batters he has faced, doing so on a grand total of 28 pitches.
By comparison, the guy that the Dodgers just signed to a 3-year / $25 million contract (plus incentives and an option for a fourth year) – 30-year-old right-hander Joe Kelly – has allowed one run on two hits with two walks and no strikeouts in his 2.0 innings pitched thus far.
But Joe Kelly most certainly is not the guy that I would swap out for Yimi Garcia. That dubious honor belongs to Dodgers right-handed reliever JT Chargois who, through his three innings of work thus far, has allowed two runs, two hits (including a home run), while walking one and striking out two. It’s not that the 28-year-old Sulphur, Louisiana native is bad, it’s that Yimi Garcia has been better thus far this spring.
But there is another reason why I would have Yimi on my Opening Day roster, one that is even more important than his (thus far) outstanding spring – Yimi Garcia is out of options. In other words, if he is not on the Dodgers Opening Day roster, he could – and undoubtedly would – be snatched up by another team … in a heartbeat. And don’t think for one second that every baseball scout on the planet isn’t well aware of this. The dilemma is that Chargois is also out of options.
This perhaps suggests that Chargois is on Gurnick’s OD roster over Garcia because Chargois is owed the MLB minimum of $555,000 in 2019, whereas Garcia will make (wait for it…) $710,000 if he is on the OD roster. This is, of course, absolutely absurd and something that Gurnick knows full well. There is no way that the Dodgers would even blink at this $155,000 salary difference; not when they just signed veteran outfielder A.J. Pollock to a 4-year / $55 million contract and just gave their ace Clayton Kershaw (who will most likely begin the 2019 season on the IL) a well-deserved 3-year / $93 million contract extension.
Chances are far greater that Gurnick knows something that none of us do. Keep in mind that Garcia underwent Tommy John surgery on October 25, 2016 and posted a 5.64 ERA in his 22.1 innings pitched in 2018, compared to Chargois’ 3.90 ERA in his 59.0 innings of work in 2018.
So, who stays and who goes?
Stay tuned…
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Spot on about Yimi Garcia! But I do have a change, Julio Urias makes the opening day roster, either as a starter or in the bull pen. If a starter, either Buehler stays behind in extended spring training (has yet to pitch in Cactus League); or, Stripling goes to the bull pen and Dylan Floro starts the season in OKC (or extended spring training). If Urias starts the season in the bull pen, then Scott Alexander or Floro goes down to OKC.
If Verdugo makes the roster without a trade being made, then Dodgers will platoon at first base, second base, left field, and right field: second base (Muncy and Taylor); first base (Muncy, Bellinger, Freese); left field (Pederson and Hernandez); and right field (Bellinger and Verdugo — Bellinger playing first base against right hand pitching, Verdugo in right field). Verdugo will also replace Pollock in centerfield on average one game per week.
SoCal, that platooning set up should Verdugo remain here is just very unsettling as far as I am concerned. Especially because both Roberts and Freidman hinted that the extensive platooning won’t be a need for survival, (as Dave put it) as it was last year. I see more inconsistent offense again in 2019 if once again we are seeing players in and out of the lineups daily and roving from 1 position to another as well as hitting in different spots in the batting order almost daily.
All good points, but I do not see another option if Verdugo makes the roster and there is not a trade. I don’t believe Dodgers will sit Verdugo on the bench for long periods of time, to get him at bats some type of platoon will be necessary.
3 weeks of Spring Games remain. Way to early to call. IMO, I agree with SoCalBum on Yimi and Urias. There’s been a lot of talk about not wasting Julio’s pitches in the minors. With that said, everything has a way of changing with Andrew Friedman’s Dodgers. On top of that, options come into play. If it comes down to DFA’ing a player that Friedman thinks has value, he won’t give them up easily.
Very good point, a lot of time before the opening day roster must be submitted to MLB office. I look for Toles to be suspended before the start of season if he has not reported to camp.
i guess a spot just opened for both of them