A Prospect or Not

Is there any wonder why we love this game… this game called baseball? It is arguably the most unpredictable of all major sports. Not only is baseball the most difficult team sport to play, it is unquestionably the most difficult to be successful at. What other professional sport can you fail at 70% of the time yet still make it into the Hall of Fame?

No matter how long we have watched this game, a game that has been around since the end of the Civil War, and many of us since the fifties, there is quite often something happening that we have never seen before. For instance, two Dodgers being thrown out at the plate on the same play by a former Dodger right fielder and tagged out by a former Dodger catcher. Expect the unexpected should be our rallying cry as anything can and most definitely will happen until the very final out.

It even keeps us in a quandary trying to predict which prospects will succeed or fail at the major league level regardless of their glowing minor league statistics and almost insurmountable odds. Often we are amazed at who succeeds and who does not. One need look no further than soon-to-be Hall of Famer Mike Piazza, who was drafted in the 62nd round of the 1988 draft. Yes, 1,026 players were drafted in front of the greatest offensive catcher the game has ever seen.

Mike Piazza wasn’t on anybody’s radar when he was drafted by the Dodgers in 1988 on the recommendation of Tommy Lasorda. (Photo credit – Jonathan Daniel)

One of my favorite parts of every baseball season is following the Dodgers minor league farm teams, where the game is still a game and players are fighting for their baseball lives. Thanks to the internet, I can listen to most of the Lookouts games from Chattanooga and Loons games from Midland, both teams being in a more favorable time zone for me. I also occasionally listen to Raptors and Quakes games, depending on the times they are played.

Back to the amazing part regarding which players find success and which do not at the MLB level. I listen to minor league baseball not only for my love of the game but also to follow prospects and to acquire some firsthand information in what is happening at the various minor league levels. This year I had particular interest in Allen Webster, Zach Lee, Chris Reed, Ethan Martin and Steven Ames with the Lookouts. As I listened to those games, I noticed that one player in particular seemed to get quite a bit of “air time.” Although this player was not ranked very high (if at all) in the Dodgers system, he was always either making a fine defensive play, stealing a significant base, getting on base as a potential tying or winning run, or even driving in one of those runs late in the game. I had been aware of him in the Dodgers system for several years but looked at him, as most did, as minor league depth, not projecting him as a prospect with any opportunity to make it to the big leagues. That player is Rafael Ynoa, recently sent to the Arizona Fall League by the Dodgers. That was a bit of a surprise… or was it?

Rafael Ynoa seems to be following in the footsteps of Luis Cruz and Elian Herrera in his trek to the big leagues. (Photo credit – Allison Love)

Rafael is from Santiago, in the Dominican Republic and was signed by the Dodgers as a non-drafted free agent on July 8, 2005. He is presently in his seventh year in the Dodgers system having played two years in the Dominican Summer League, one in the Gulf Coast League, one at three levels hitting only .163 in 2009, one year each with the Loons, the Quakes and the Lookouts. This past season with the Lookouts, Rafael hit .278 with an OBP of .364, stole 23 bases, walked 58 times and struck out 70 times. His last three years have demonstrated a pattern of consistency, but not enough to make it on any top prospect lists.

Yes, it was a surprise to me that Rafael, at age 25, became a Dodgers representative in the 2012 AFL. It either indicates a lack of talent in the AFL or there is something about Rafael that the team really likes. And knowing the tremendous talent involved in the AFL, it is undoubtedly the latter.

After four days of play in the Arizona Fall League, Ynoa led the Mesa Solar Sox with his .500 batting average. (Photo credit – Ron Cervenka)

Christopher Jackson of the Albuquerque Baseball Examiner recently asked this question of De Jon Watson on July 20, 2012: “Can you name a position player… that fans do not know about but should start paying attention to?” De Jon’s answer: “I would say Rafael Ynoa would probably be that guy. If you watch him play he’s a good looking player…”

So where does that leave Rafael Ynoa? Obviously on the Dodgers radar – if for no other reason than his persistence, hard work and commitment to the game. These qualities have gotten the attention of the Dodgers brass but Rafael has other significant qualities as well – he can play second, short or third, is a switch hitter, has good speed, has excellent defensive skills and good plate discipline. He does display very little power but consistency sometimes trumps power. As such, it would seem that Rafael might very well find his way to big leagues in a super-sub role on the same path blazed by Luis Cruz and Elian Herrera.

Last fall, the Dodgers sent nine players to the AFL to play for the Salt River Rafters. Six of those players went on to spend part or all of the 2012 season with the Albuquerque Isotopes. Based on that history and on Rafael’s progression, the projection for him in 2013 will most likely be a roster spot with the Albuquerque Isotopes, especially since Luis Cruz will probably be the everyday third baseman for the Dodgers in 2013 and because Ivan De Jesus Jr. was traded away in the blockbuster deal with the Red Sox. And who knows, perhaps there is even a September call up on the horizon for Rafael Ynoa, who is obviously no longer flying under the radar.

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9 Responses to “A Prospect or Not”

  1. Ron Cervenka says:

    I have to admit that I was not overly impressed with Rafael when I watched him play with the Quakes in 2011, Harold. And I also have to admit that I pretty much took him off of my radar this past season as well. But when I saw his name on the Dodgers AFL roster, I started looking closer into his 2012 season at Chattanooga and was pleasantly surprised to see that he had done rather well and was very deserving of a spot in the AFL.

    Although Rafael is not known for his power (as you pointed out), one of his (now) six hits in the AFL is a home run and another a double. He is also 1 for 2 in stolen base attempts and has scored three runs – not bad numbers for having played in only four of the six AFL games thus far. (I sure wish Joc Pederson would get his shirt together, as OBF would say).

    Like yourself, I initially questioned Ynoa being a Dodgers AFL representative and wondered if it was merely a reward for his perseverance or to showcase him for a future trade, but having had the pleasure of seeing him play in the AFL (albeit only three games), I was very impressed at what I saw, especially his defensive prowess.

    I also agree with you that Rafael will most likely start the 2013 season at Triple-A Albuquerque but, unfortunately, I do not see him becoming an everyday player with the Big club. But as we know all too well, anything can happen in this game.

    Thanks again for yet another excellent article, Harold.

  2. ebbetsfld says:

    I saw Ynoa with the Loons a few years ago. While it was only for three games, my impression of him was that he was a steady, confident, quiet player. He appears to be a late blooming journeyman infielder who will never be a star, much less a superstar, but will provide the consistent backup that every team needs when a starter has an injury or simply needs a rest. Can anyone say Jamie Carroll? The thing is we already have Elian Herrera available, so there well may be no room for Ynoa.

  3. Bluenose Dodger says:

    If the Dodgers are right about Ynoa there will be a place somewhere. That is, if he has value as a utility player he will catch on with a team as Xavier Paul has. Perhaps he will be traded for an A level player.

    Here is an interesting story re: Ynoa.

    Thanks to Ynoa, Pimental and a registered nurse, Terry Whittington is very much alive. Whittington was driving his motorcycle on M-30 in Midland County on Mother’s Day when a wild turkey ran onto the road, causing Whittington to crash.

    Ynoa and Pimental were on their way to Dow Diamond for an afternoon game against Lake County. They had spent the morning visiting Elian Herrera’s daughter, 4-month-old Elly, and were getting a ride to the game from Herrera’s sister-in-law, a registered nurse.

    “I was scared … it happened so fast,” Ynoa said. “We just did what the nurse told us to do. I don’t remember a lot. I was holding his head. There was so much blood.”

    Prior to Mother’s Day, Ynoa had a .222 batting average, .306 on-base percentage and a .286 slugging percentage. Those numbers usually mean a demotion or the end of a career.Then a funny thing happened. . Ynoa started hitting and hasn’t stopped. Since Sunday, May 9, however, Ynoa has become a different hitter. Entering this weekend, Ynoa was 17 of 37 at the plate since the accident and has raised his batting average to .310, his on-base percentage to .375 and his slugging percentage to .390.

    [url=http://www.mlive.com/loons/index.ssf/2010/05/rafael_ynoa_relishes_daily_suc.html] Ynoa Helps Save Life [/url]

  4. CRANBROOK MIKE says:

    See if it weren’t for you Harold I wouldn’t know about this guy!

  5. Bluenose Dodger says:

    Rafael a hit and SB today. Griff two hits. Red Patterson a perfect inning. Logan Bawcom a good inning. Oh yes, Logan is on the other side now.

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